A probability method for prediction on High Cycle Fatigue of blades caused by aerodynamic loads

0965-9978/$ see front matter 2011 Elsevier Ltd. A doi:10.1016/j.advengsoft.2011.07.010 ⇑ Corresponding author. Address: 405 Group, Bei Ha Tel.: +86 10 82313803. E-mail address: [email protected] (D. Zhang). A probability method for prediction on High Cycle Fatigue (HCF) of blades caused by aerodynamic loads (PHBA) is erected and two approaches are adopted: improving the numerical method to obtain the dynamical responses of blades caused by aerodynamic loads and introducing probability theory into predicting HCF. The basic governing equations of fluid domain, solid domain and fluid–solid interface are given for flow-blade interaction system. Furthermore a numerical method named bidirectional sequential method is illuminated, and the corresponding physical process of vibration from unsteady state to steady state is described. The dynamical response can be obtained by this time domain method conveniently by the use of commercial softwares. Then PHBA is put forward based on vibration stress according to the probabilistic accumulative damage model. Finally an engineering sample is discussed to illuminate PHBA flow clearly. PHBA is performed on two types of second-stage stators to evaluate the operation security, thus the probabilistic accumulative damages altering with operation time are calculated, and the operational reliabilities are also obtained. The results can describe the possibility of HCF intuitively and quantitatively, which shows PHBA is very helpful in the HCF prediction and failure analysis. 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.